304不銹鋼板市場交投狀況相對一般
2019-6-14 9:19:14??????點擊:
本周北(bei)(bei)方(fang)地(di)區窄幅波(bo)動。東北(bei)(bei)地(di)區主(zhu)穩,遼陽多數小(xiao)廠(chang)停(ting)產,據(ju)悉仍在維(wei)持生產的電爐廠(chang)僅(jin)十多家(jia),廢鋼(gang)需求量(liang)(liang)下(xia)滑;主(zhu)導鋼(gang)企因成(cheng)材(cai)轉弱(ruo)(ruo),月初下(xia)調20-30元/噸(dun),廠(chang)家(jia)下(xia)調后商戶因利潤微薄不(bu)(bu)愿出貨(huo)(huo),304不(bu)(bu)銹鋼(gang)板少量(liang)(liang)儲備優料,短期(qi)或(huo)暫穩。西北(bei)(bei)地(di)區價格低位,商家(jia)將(jiang)貨(huo)(huo)賣到四川(chuan)、河(he)北(bei)(bei)、河(he)南等(deng)地(di),外地(di)商家(jia)過來收貨(huo)(huo)略增,后期(qi)或(huo)穩中偏(pian)弱(ruo)(ruo)。華北(bei)(bei)地(di)區因APEC會議對鋼(gang)廠(chang)停(ting)產、限(xian)產,本地(di)鋼(gang)廠(chang)對廢鋼(gang)的需求進(jin)一步減(jian)少;工地(di)停(ting)工削弱(ruo)(ruo)對成(cheng)材(cai)的需求,成(cheng)品出貨(huo)(huo)不(bu)(bu)暢,市場(chang)無支撐;短期(qi)主(zhu)穩。綜合來看,北(bei)(bei)方(fang)市場(chang)下(xia)周可能延(yan)續穩定(ding)局面。
從影(ying)(ying)響結(jie)構(gou)鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場走勢(shi)(shi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)各主(zhu)(zhu)要(yao)(yao)因素來看(kan)(kan),下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)或(huo)繼續(xu)穩中(zhong)(zhong)有漲(zhang)(zhang)。目前從整(zheng)(zheng)個鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi)大(da)環境來看(kan)(kan),鋼(gang)(gang)材產量已出(chu)現下(xia)(xia)滑態勢(shi)(shi),供給壓力在(zai)未來有望緩(huan)(huan)解(jie),但(dan)(dan)(dan)是(shi)需求(qiu)萎(wei)縮的(de)(de)(de)(de)速度可能更快,再加(jia)上(shang)鐵礦石(shi)等原(yuan)料(liao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)難以止跌(die),宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)面(mian)(mian)(mian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)利(li)好(hao)(hao)很難起到明(ming)顯(xian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)托市(shi)(shi)(shi)效果。而具體(ti)(ti)到結(jie)構(gou)鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場方面(mian)(mian)(mian),下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場漲(zhang)(zhang)幅較(jiao)本(ben)周(zhou)或(huo)將(jiang)收(shou)(shou)窄,其中(zhong)(zhong)主(zhu)(zhu)要(yao)(yao)受(shou)需求(qiu)因素影(ying)(ying)響,304不銹(xiu)鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)成(cheng)交(jiao)量跟進(jin)不足使得價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)的(de)(de)(de)(de)持(chi)續(xu)拉漲(zhang)(zhang)稍顯(xian)困(kun)難,尤其下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)面(mian)(mian)(mian)利(li)好(hao)(hao)刺激(ji)作用預(yu)計難以持(chi)續(xu)發酵,需求(qiu)面(mian)(mian)(mian)整(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)(ti)難以看(kan)(kan)好(hao)(hao)。而供應(ying)面(mian)(mian)(mian),西(xi)王停產一周(zhou),杭鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)內(nei)棒材軋機正在(zai)檢修,主(zhu)(zhu)要(yao)(yao)影(ying)(ying)響Φ28-55mm規格(ge)(ge)(ge),計劃于(yu)本(ben)月(yue)20日結(jie)束,魯(lu)麗、廣富等鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)庫存持(chi)續(xu)偏(pian)低,東(dong)特方面(mian)(mian)(mian)庫存也處政策偏(pian)低水(shui)平,資源(yuan)偏(pian)少(shao)(shao)對(dui)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)的(de)(de)(de)(de)支撐作用繼續(xu)影(ying)(ying)響鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi),尤其山(shan)東(dong)小廠(chang)(chang)(chang)方面(mian)(mian)(mian)有價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)無市(shi)(shi)(shi)格(ge)(ge)(ge)局也稍有所(suo)(suo)凸顯(xian),低價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)資源(yuan)也較(jiao)之(zhi)前明(ming)顯(xian)偏(pian)少(shao)(shao),下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)往高位靠攏(long)可能性仍大(da)。但(dan)(dan)(dan)華(hua)北、華(hua)南(nan)等地(di)由于(yu)鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)暫無變(bian)動(dong),304不銹(xiu)鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場交(jiao)投(tou)狀(zhuang)況相對(dui)一般,維穩觀(guan)(guan)望運行(xing)或(huo)仍占(zhan)據主(zhu)(zhu)流。本(ben)周(zhou)中(zhong)(zhong)西(xi)南(nan)穩中(zhong)(zhong)趨(qu)好(hao)(hao),有的(de)(de)(de)(de)鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)生(sheng)產受(shou)限(xian),但(dan)(dan)(dan)是(shi)成(cheng)品材好(hao)(hao)銷(xiao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)小廠(chang)(chang)(chang)挺價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)吸引資源(yuan),資金結(jie)算(suan)較(jiao)快,中(zhong)(zhong)心市(shi)(shi)(shi)場成(cheng)交(jiao)尚可,外圍(wei)成(cheng)交(jiao)較(jiao)少(shao)(shao),湖(hu)(hu)南(nan)受(shou)周(zhou)圍(wei)漲(zhang)(zhang)勢(shi)(shi)行(xing)情(qing)影(ying)(ying)響也震蕩上(shang)行(xing),但(dan)(dan)(dan)近期成(cheng)品卻(que)出(chu)現了下(xia)(xia)跌(die)的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)況,湖(hu)(hu)北成(cheng)交(jiao)一般,暫時穩中(zhong)(zhong)觀(guan)(guan)望;西(xi)南(nan)川渝地(di)區(qu)(qu)漲(zhang)(zhang)40,資源(yuan)緊張推動(dong)此波(bo)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)勢(shi)(shi)頭,但(dan)(dan)(dan)電(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)的(de)(de)(de)(de)回升制約廢(fei)鋼(gang)(gang)續(xu)漲(zhang)(zhang)空(kong)間,云(yun)南(nan)地(di)區(qu)(qu)優料(liao)沖(chong)高,但(dan)(dan)(dan)資源(yuan)相對(dui)不多,收(shou)(shou)購(gou)量縮減致貨源(yuan)外流,當地(di)部分鋼(gang)(gang)企到貨較(jiao)好(hao)(hao),西(xi)南(nan)地(di)區(qu)(qu)探漲(zhang)(zhang)步伐趨(qu)緩(huan)(huan);華(hua)南(nan)地(di)區(qu)(qu)漲(zhang)(zhang)幅20-40,但(dan)(dan)(dan)沒有宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)利(li)好(hao)(hao)和供需兩(liang)弱的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)況下(xia)(xia),續(xu)漲(zhang)(zhang)乏力。綜上(shang)所(suo)(suo)述(shu),漲(zhang)(zhang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)的(de)(de)(de)(de)原(yuan)因無外乎還是(shi)鋼(gang)(gang)企到貨少(shao)(shao)所(suo)(suo)引起的(de)(de)(de)(de),實(shi)質上(shang)下(xia)(xia)游需求(qiu)放量并不明(ming)顯(xian),價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)再沖(chong)高也有困(kun)難;加(jia)上(shang)APEC會議(yi)現在(zai)正在(zai)進(jin)行(xing)中(zhong)(zhong),304不銹(xiu)鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)商先觀(guan)(guan)望為主(zhu)(zhu),不輕易調整(zheng)(zheng)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge),預(yu)計下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)窄幅盤整(zheng)(zheng),變(bian)動(dong)不大(da)。
從影(ying)(ying)響結(jie)構(gou)鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場走勢(shi)(shi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)各主(zhu)(zhu)要(yao)(yao)因素來看(kan)(kan),下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)或(huo)繼續(xu)穩中(zhong)(zhong)有漲(zhang)(zhang)。目前從整(zheng)(zheng)個鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi)大(da)環境來看(kan)(kan),鋼(gang)(gang)材產量已出(chu)現下(xia)(xia)滑態勢(shi)(shi),供給壓力在(zai)未來有望緩(huan)(huan)解(jie),但(dan)(dan)(dan)是(shi)需求(qiu)萎(wei)縮的(de)(de)(de)(de)速度可能更快,再加(jia)上(shang)鐵礦石(shi)等原(yuan)料(liao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)難以止跌(die),宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)面(mian)(mian)(mian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)利(li)好(hao)(hao)很難起到明(ming)顯(xian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)托市(shi)(shi)(shi)效果。而具體(ti)(ti)到結(jie)構(gou)鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場方面(mian)(mian)(mian),下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場漲(zhang)(zhang)幅較(jiao)本(ben)周(zhou)或(huo)將(jiang)收(shou)(shou)窄,其中(zhong)(zhong)主(zhu)(zhu)要(yao)(yao)受(shou)需求(qiu)因素影(ying)(ying)響,304不銹(xiu)鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)成(cheng)交(jiao)量跟進(jin)不足使得價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)的(de)(de)(de)(de)持(chi)續(xu)拉漲(zhang)(zhang)稍顯(xian)困(kun)難,尤其下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)面(mian)(mian)(mian)利(li)好(hao)(hao)刺激(ji)作用預(yu)計難以持(chi)續(xu)發酵,需求(qiu)面(mian)(mian)(mian)整(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)(ti)難以看(kan)(kan)好(hao)(hao)。而供應(ying)面(mian)(mian)(mian),西(xi)王停產一周(zhou),杭鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)內(nei)棒材軋機正在(zai)檢修,主(zhu)(zhu)要(yao)(yao)影(ying)(ying)響Φ28-55mm規格(ge)(ge)(ge),計劃于(yu)本(ben)月(yue)20日結(jie)束,魯(lu)麗、廣富等鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)庫存持(chi)續(xu)偏(pian)低,東(dong)特方面(mian)(mian)(mian)庫存也處政策偏(pian)低水(shui)平,資源(yuan)偏(pian)少(shao)(shao)對(dui)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)的(de)(de)(de)(de)支撐作用繼續(xu)影(ying)(ying)響鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi),尤其山(shan)東(dong)小廠(chang)(chang)(chang)方面(mian)(mian)(mian)有價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)無市(shi)(shi)(shi)格(ge)(ge)(ge)局也稍有所(suo)(suo)凸顯(xian),低價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)資源(yuan)也較(jiao)之(zhi)前明(ming)顯(xian)偏(pian)少(shao)(shao),下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)往高位靠攏(long)可能性仍大(da)。但(dan)(dan)(dan)華(hua)北、華(hua)南(nan)等地(di)由于(yu)鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)暫無變(bian)動(dong),304不銹(xiu)鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場交(jiao)投(tou)狀(zhuang)況相對(dui)一般,維穩觀(guan)(guan)望運行(xing)或(huo)仍占(zhan)據主(zhu)(zhu)流。本(ben)周(zhou)中(zhong)(zhong)西(xi)南(nan)穩中(zhong)(zhong)趨(qu)好(hao)(hao),有的(de)(de)(de)(de)鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)生(sheng)產受(shou)限(xian),但(dan)(dan)(dan)是(shi)成(cheng)品材好(hao)(hao)銷(xiao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)小廠(chang)(chang)(chang)挺價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)吸引資源(yuan),資金結(jie)算(suan)較(jiao)快,中(zhong)(zhong)心市(shi)(shi)(shi)場成(cheng)交(jiao)尚可,外圍(wei)成(cheng)交(jiao)較(jiao)少(shao)(shao),湖(hu)(hu)南(nan)受(shou)周(zhou)圍(wei)漲(zhang)(zhang)勢(shi)(shi)行(xing)情(qing)影(ying)(ying)響也震蕩上(shang)行(xing),但(dan)(dan)(dan)近期成(cheng)品卻(que)出(chu)現了下(xia)(xia)跌(die)的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)況,湖(hu)(hu)北成(cheng)交(jiao)一般,暫時穩中(zhong)(zhong)觀(guan)(guan)望;西(xi)南(nan)川渝地(di)區(qu)(qu)漲(zhang)(zhang)40,資源(yuan)緊張推動(dong)此波(bo)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)勢(shi)(shi)頭,但(dan)(dan)(dan)電(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)的(de)(de)(de)(de)回升制約廢(fei)鋼(gang)(gang)續(xu)漲(zhang)(zhang)空(kong)間,云(yun)南(nan)地(di)區(qu)(qu)優料(liao)沖(chong)高,但(dan)(dan)(dan)資源(yuan)相對(dui)不多,收(shou)(shou)購(gou)量縮減致貨源(yuan)外流,當地(di)部分鋼(gang)(gang)企到貨較(jiao)好(hao)(hao),西(xi)南(nan)地(di)區(qu)(qu)探漲(zhang)(zhang)步伐趨(qu)緩(huan)(huan);華(hua)南(nan)地(di)區(qu)(qu)漲(zhang)(zhang)幅20-40,但(dan)(dan)(dan)沒有宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)利(li)好(hao)(hao)和供需兩(liang)弱的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)況下(xia)(xia),續(xu)漲(zhang)(zhang)乏力。綜上(shang)所(suo)(suo)述(shu),漲(zhang)(zhang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)的(de)(de)(de)(de)原(yuan)因無外乎還是(shi)鋼(gang)(gang)企到貨少(shao)(shao)所(suo)(suo)引起的(de)(de)(de)(de),實(shi)質上(shang)下(xia)(xia)游需求(qiu)放量并不明(ming)顯(xian),價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)再沖(chong)高也有困(kun)難;加(jia)上(shang)APEC會議(yi)現在(zai)正在(zai)進(jin)行(xing)中(zhong)(zhong),304不銹(xiu)鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)商先觀(guan)(guan)望為主(zhu)(zhu),不輕易調整(zheng)(zheng)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge),預(yu)計下(xia)(xia)周(zhou)窄幅盤整(zheng)(zheng),變(bian)動(dong)不大(da)。
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