預計5月中旬316L不銹鋼板市場價格或將高位震蕩
2019-5-5 16:18:47??????點擊:
近期鋼(gang)(gang)坯價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)持(chi)(chi)續(xu)(xu)(xu) 上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)導致316L不(bu)(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)場(chang)底部逐步(bu)(bu)抬(tai)升,華東地區價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)處于被動(dong)(dong)上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)態(tai)勢(shi)(shi),短(duan)期需(xu)求或將被上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)情緒拉動(dong)(dong),但(dan)移步(bu)(bu)入(ru)5月中旬,高(gao)(gao)位(wei)、多(duo)雨(yu)水等(deng)季(ji)(ji)節性(xing)因素(su)的影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)將擴大(da),需(xu)求 的轉弱(ruo)也(ye)將會(hui)急劇顯(xian)現(xian)(xian)出來,貿易商對(dui)(dui)于后(hou)(hou)市(shi)資源供(gong)(gong)應(ying)也(ye)表(biao)(biao)現(xian)(xian)出一定擔(dan)憂,商家主體(ti)仍以降(jiang)庫(ku)(ku)(ku)規(gui)避風險想法為主。一方(fang)(fang)面(mian)(mian),考慮期貨以及(ji)鋼(gang)(gang)坯等(deng)因素(su),上游(you)生(sheng)產(chan)企業(ye) 方(fang)(fang)面(mian)(mian)暫時也(ye)未對(dui)(dui)市(shi)場(chang)做出下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)政(zheng)策(ce)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)(zheng),貿易商表(biao)(biao)示(shi)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)高(gao)(gao)位(wei);另(ling)一方(fang)(fang)面(mian)(mian),下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)游(you)采(cai)購力(li)度(du)有限,終(zhong)端(duan)(duan)采(cai)購端(duan)(duan)壓力(li)較(jiao)大(da),短(duan)期價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)或將步(bu)(bu)入(ru)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)(zheng)階段。鋼(gang)(gang)鐵(tie)業(ye)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)形(xing)勢(shi)(shi)好(hao)轉的格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)局在今年(nian)(nian)上半年(nian)(nian)得(de)到(dao)(dao)延續(xu)(xu)(xu)。但(dan)鑒(jian)于目前(qian)(qian)正處于傳統銷(xiao)售淡季(ji)(ji),高(gao)(gao)溫多(duo)雨(yu)導致市(shi)場(chang)需(xu)求面(mian)(mian)依(yi)舊偏弱(ruo),下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)游(you)商戶恐高(gao)(gao)情緒繼續(xu)(xu)(xu)蔓延,對(dui)(dui)后(hou)(hou)市(shi)行情走(zou)勢(shi)(shi)仍存(cun)較(jiao)大(da)擔(dan)憂。預(yu)計(ji)短(duan)期本地型價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)將小幅趨穩調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)(zheng)為主。 本周(zhou)關聯(lian)期貨寬幅震蕩,整(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)呈現(xian)(xian)前(qian)(qian)期拉漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)過(guo)后(hou)(hou)的調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)(zheng)走(zou)勢(shi)(shi)。受此(ci)(ci)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang),本地熱卷(juan)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)震蕩運行。成(cheng)交(jiao)方(fang)(fang)面(mian)(mian),由于本周(zhou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)跌(die)不(bu)(bu)定有回調(diao)(diao)(diao)跡(ji)象(xiang),下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)游(you)以及(ji)終(zhong)端(duan)(duan)用戶觀(guan)(guan)望情緒明(ming)顯(xian)。另(ling)外,熱卷(juan)較(jiao)帶鋼(gang)(gang)等(deng)品(pin)種價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)優(you)勢(shi)(shi)逐漸(jian)缺(que)失,河北及(ji)周(zhou)邊管廠采(cai)購量明(ming)顯(xian)減少。市(shi)場(chang)整(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)庫(ku)(ku)(ku)存(cun)依(yi)舊處于下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)態(tai)勢(shi)(shi),在低(di)(di)位(wei)庫(ku)(ku)(ku)存(cun)水平(ping)支撐(cheng)(cheng)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)抗(kang)跌(die)性(xing)較(jiao)強。因此(ci)(ci),即便本周(zhou)成(cheng)交(jiao)偏差,市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)也(ye)并未出現(xian)(xian)大(da)幅度(du)的向下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)(zheng)。后(hou)(hou)市(shi)而(er)言,當前(qian)(qian)高(gao)(gao)溫多(duo)雨(yu)季(ji)(ji)節需(xu)求多(duo)不(bu)(bu)理想使得(de)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)受阻,但(dan)是基于低(di)(di)庫(ku)(ku)(ku)存(cun)支撐(cheng)(cheng),316L不(bu)(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)商家心態(tai)尚可,市(shi)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)相(xiang)對(dui)(dui)堅挺。昨日唐山鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)觀(guan)(guan)望氣(qi)氛增加(jia)。從(cong)目前(qian)(qian)行情來看,市(shi)場(chang)膠著(zhu)局面(mian)(mian)較(jiao)為明(ming)顯(xian),雖(sui)然在市(shi)場(chang)現(xian)(xian)貨庫(ku)(ku)(ku)存(cun)低(di)(di)位(wei),整(zheng)(zheng)體(ti)供(gong)(gong)給顯(xian)緊(jin)張(zhang)的背景下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia),市(shi)場(chang)仍有走(zou)高(gao)(gao)預(yu)期。但(dan)考慮到(dao)(dao)高(gao)(gao)溫多(duo)雨(yu)天氣(qi)增加(jia),市(shi)場(chang)終(zhong)端(duan)(duan)需(xu)求表(biao)(biao)現(xian)(xian)不(bu)(bu)佳,持(chi)(chi)續(xu)(xu)(xu)高(gao)(gao)利(li)潤高(gao)(gao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)的行情使得(de)商家心態(tai)多(duo)不(bu)(bu)穩,謹(jin)慎操作氣(qi)氛顯(xian)。鋼(gang)(gang)鐵(tie)業(ye)觀(guan)(guan)察(cha)人士指(zhi)出,鋼(gang)(gang)鐵(tie)業(ye)供(gong)(gong)給側改革、整(zheng)(zheng)治地條鋼(gang)(gang)產(chan)能等(deng)政(zheng)策(ce)減少了鋼(gang)(gang)鐵(tie)市(shi)場(chang)供(gong)(gong)應(ying),對(dui)(dui)鋼(gang)(gang)材產(chan)品(pin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)帶來利(li)好(hao),鋼(gang)(gang)企也(ye)借此(ci)(ci)保持(chi)(chi)了盈利(li)。目前(qian)(qian)去產(chan)能、整(zheng)(zheng)治地條鋼(gang)(gang)等(deng)任務基本完成(cheng),預(yu)計(ji)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)半年(nian)(nian)鋼(gang)(gang)鐵(tie)業(ye)供(gong)(gong)給側改革對(dui)(dui)鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)的影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)會(hui)逐步(bu)(bu)減弱(ruo),在另(ling)一方(fang)(fang)面(mian)(mian),環(huan)保政(zheng)策(ce)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)半年(nian)(nian)可能會(hui)對(dui)(dui)鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)產(chan)生(sheng)階段性(xing)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)。因此(ci)(ci),當前(qian)(qian)需(xu)求 面(mian)(mian)抑制價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge),庫(ku)(ku)(ku)存(cun)支撐(cheng)(cheng)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge),這種漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)跌(die)兩難的情況將持(chi)(chi)續(xu)(xu)(xu)一段時間(jian),預(yu)計(ji)5月中旬316L不(bu)(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)或將高(gao)(gao)位(wei)震蕩。
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