短期304不銹鋼板市場價格將延續弱勢運行
2018-12-18 9:30:09??????點擊:
今(jin)(jin)日(ri)304不(bu)(bu)銹鋼(gang)板價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)小(xiao)幅(fu)下(xia)跌(die)。據蘭格(ge)(ge)鋼(gang)鐵信息研究中心(xin)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)監測顯(xian)(xian)示:國(guo)內(nei)重點城市(shi)(shi)(shi)5.5mm普碳熱軋(ya)開平板主(zhu)流報價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)在(zai)2492元(yuan),均價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)較(jiao)(jiao)昨日(ri)跌(die)7元(yuan)。今(jin)(jin)日(ri)開市(shi)(shi)(shi),國(guo)內(nei)熱軋(ya)卷板幾個多(duo)數報穩(wen)(wen)(wen),但仍(reng)有部分地(di)(di)(di)區出(chu)現(xian)(xian)小(xiao)幅(fu)下(xia)調,跌(die)幅(fu)10-20元(yuan)。就抹(mo)去愛(ai)你(ni)國(guo)內(nei)整體(ti)(ti)形勢(shi)看(kan),短期內(nei)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)或(huo)(huo)仍(reng)保持弱(ruo)(ruo)勢(shi)運行(xing)。現(xian)(xian)在(zai)多(duo)數地(di)(di)(di)區市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)資源(yuan)仍(reng)然比較(jiao)(jiao)短缺,鋼(gang)廠供應仍(reng)不(bu)(bu)及時,短期內(nei)資源(yuan)對價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)支撐將(jiang)持續發(fa)揮作用(yong)。市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)需求(qiu)方(fang)面(mian)(mian),雖然整體(ti)(ti)資源(yuan)量較(jiao)(jiao)少(shao),但這并(bing)沒(mei)有刺(ci)(ci)激(ji)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)不(bu)(bu)斷走高(gao)(gao);主(zhu)要是(shi)由于較(jiao)(jiao)少(shao)的(de)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)需求(qiu),對價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)產生(sheng)壓制作用(yong)。就現(xian)(xian)在(zai)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)成交情(qing)況而言(yan),短期內(nei)商(shang)家或(huo)(huo)難恢復(fu)對市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)的(de)信心(xin);目前(qian)多(duo)數商(shang)家仍(reng)然反映市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)出(chu)貨(huo)乏力,而且(qie)各種刺(ci)(ci)激(ji)政策(ce)難以提高(gao)(gao)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)需求(qiu)量。多(duo)數商(shang)家存貨(huo)較(jiao)(jiao)少(shao),資金占用(yong)壓力不(bu)(bu)大(da),短期內(nei)資金方(fang)面(mian)(mian)對價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)走勢(shi)影響偏小(xiao)。就期貨(huo)而言(yan),今(jin)(jin)日(ri)熱軋(ya)卷板期貨(huo)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)出(chu)現(xian)(xian)回升,截止(zhi)到(dao)目前(qian)已漲至(zhi)2512元(yuan),漲幅(fu)21元(yuan)。304不(bu)(bu)銹鋼(gang)板期貨(huo)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)的(de)反彈或(huo)(huo)將(jiang)在(zai)一(yi)定層(ceng)面(mian)(mian)上(shang)對現(xian)(xian)貨(huo)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)產生(sheng)上(shang)浮拉力,或(huo)(huo)能穩(wen)(wen)(wen)定商(shang)家市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)心(xin)態(tai),促進(jin)后(hou)期價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)企穩(wen)(wen)(wen)。綜合目前(qian)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)分析,預(yu)計短期內(nei)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)或(huo)(huo)將(jiang)小(xiao)幅(fu)趨(qu)弱(ruo)(ruo)。武(wu)漢市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)焊(han)管價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)持穩(wen)(wen)(wen)運行(xing),成交良(liang)好(hao)(hao)。近期原料價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)始終維持弱(ruo)(ruo)勢(shi)震蕩行(xing)情(qing),高(gao)(gao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)位出(chu)貨(huo)不(bu)(bu)暢。市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)方(fang)面(mian)(mian),由于上(shang)游(you)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)上(shang)下(xia)下(xia)盤(pan)整不(bu)(bu)定、且(qie)幅(fu)度不(bu)(bu)大(da),武(wu)漢焊(han)管市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)觀望為(wei)主(zhu),價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)報穩(wen)(wen)(wen)。另一(yi)方(fang)面(mian)(mian),由于本地(di)(di)(di)終端需求(qiu)隨(sui)著氣溫的(de)升高(gao)(gao)不(bu)(bu)斷得到(dao)釋放,貿易(yi)商(shang)出(chu)貨(huo)情(qing)況良(liang)好(hao)(hao),并(bing)不(bu)(bu)需要通過價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)的(de)調整來刺(ci)(ci)激(ji)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)需求(qiu),這也(ye)是(shi)在(zai)原料市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)不(bu)(bu)斷小(xiao)幅(fu)震蕩的(de)情(qing)況下(xia)本地(di)(di)(di)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)報穩(wen)(wen)(wen)的(de)原因。相比其他地(di)(di)(di)區而言(yan),目前(qian)本地(di)(di)(di)貿易(yi)商(shang)心(xin)態(tai)較(jiao)(jiao)為(wei)積極,但庫存方(fang)面(mian)(mian),304不(bu)(bu)銹鋼(gang)板商(shang)家仍(reng)不(bu)(bu)敢像前(qian)兩(liang)年那樣大(da)肆囤積,整體(ti)(ti)表(biao)現(xian)(xian)較(jiao)(jiao)為(wei)謹慎。綜上(shang)所述,若原料端不(bu)(bu)出(chu)現(xian)(xian)明顯(xian)(xian)調整,武(wu)漢市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)焊(han)管價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)或(huo)(huo)仍(reng)平穩(wen)(wen)(wen)為(wei)主(zhu)。
據市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)了解,鋼坯(pi)(pi)方(fang)面:午后(hou)唐(tang)山(shan)、昌黎普碳方(fang)坯(pi)(pi)出廠價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)2060,漲10。市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)方(fang)面:近期北(bei)方(fang)諸多鋼廠頻繁調價(jia)(jia)(jia),使得本地商(shang)家(jia)采購愈加謹(jin)慎(shen),對后(hou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)觀望(wang)情緒濃厚,由于本地需(xu)求(qiu)持續疲軟,商(shang)家(jia)走貨阻(zu)力較大,市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)資源充足,而下(xia)游需(xu)求(qiu)力度不足,無成交量支配市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang),使得商(shang)戶看空心態濃厚,后(hou)期價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)難(nan)有(you)上漲動力。筆者認為(wei),雖(sui)當前國內(nei)鋼材市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)仍處(chu)需(xu)求(qiu)旺季,但(dan)弱勢局面仍未有(you)改(gai)變,短期鋼市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)回暖困難(nan),短期304不銹鋼板市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)將延續弱勢運行。
據市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)了解,鋼坯(pi)(pi)方(fang)面:午后(hou)唐(tang)山(shan)、昌黎普碳方(fang)坯(pi)(pi)出廠價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)2060,漲10。市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)方(fang)面:近期北(bei)方(fang)諸多鋼廠頻繁調價(jia)(jia)(jia),使得本地商(shang)家(jia)采購愈加謹(jin)慎(shen),對后(hou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)觀望(wang)情緒濃厚,由于本地需(xu)求(qiu)持續疲軟,商(shang)家(jia)走貨阻(zu)力較大,市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)資源充足,而下(xia)游需(xu)求(qiu)力度不足,無成交量支配市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang),使得商(shang)戶看空心態濃厚,后(hou)期價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)難(nan)有(you)上漲動力。筆者認為(wei),雖(sui)當前國內(nei)鋼材市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)仍處(chu)需(xu)求(qiu)旺季,但(dan)弱勢局面仍未有(you)改(gai)變,短期鋼市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)回暖困難(nan),短期304不銹鋼板市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)將延續弱勢運行。
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