短期內304不銹鋼板市場維持趨穩狀態
2019-11-8 10:58:02??????點擊:
今日304不銹鋼(gang)(gang)(gang)(gang)板市(shi)(shi)場(chang)整(zheng)體(ti)弱(ruo)勢持(chi)穩,成(cheng)交情況不佳(jia),市(shi)(shi)場(chang)悲觀氛圍依舊(jiu)較(jiao)濃。據焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)化廠透露,目前(qian)(qian)(qian)多數(shu)地(di)區焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)企出(chu)貨情況良好,庫(ku)存處于低位,開工率(lv)亦維(wei)持(chi)在(zai)高位。鋼(gang)(gang)(gang)(gang)廠采(cai)(cai)購仍較(jiao)為(wei)(wei)謹慎,基本(ben)以(yi)觀望為(wei)(wei)主。前(qian)(qian)(qian)期個別鋼(gang)(gang)(gang)(gang)企為(wei)(wei)了(le)增加庫(ku)存量而有積極采(cai)(cai)購的意向,但目前(qian)(qian)(qian)基本(ben)達到(dao)預(yu)(yu)期,因此(ci)采(cai)(cai)購放(fang)緩。目前(qian)(qian)(qian)個別地(di)區焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)企未出(chu)現(xian)大(da)規模限產,下游需求疲軟,鋼(gang)(gang)(gang)(gang)廠打壓(ya)力度不減,上游煤炭(tan)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)也是維(wei)持(chi)弱(ruo)勢,對(dui)(dui)(dui)焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)支撐(cheng)減弱(ruo)。綜上所述,預(yu)(yu)計短期國內(nei)焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)依舊(jiu)弱(ruo)勢運行為(wei)(wei)主。6月份鋼(gang)(gang)(gang)(gang)材市(shi)(shi)場(chang)整(zheng)體(ti)弱(ruo)勢運行格(ge)(ge)局尚無實(shi)質性(xing)改善,鋼(gang)(gang)(gang)(gang)廠虧損情況依舊(jiu)較(jiao)為(wei)(wei)嚴重,因此(ci)鋼(gang)(gang)(gang)(gang)廠對(dui)(dui)(dui)原料市(shi)(shi)場(chang)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)打壓(ya)并未減弱(ruo)。部分鋼(gang)(gang)(gang)(gang)企表示不適宜(yi)增加焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)庫(ku)存量,對(dui)(dui)(dui)焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)依舊(jiu)壓(ya)力較(jiao)大(da),價(jia)格(ge)(ge)仍有下行可能。
據悉,受(shou)(shou)近(jin)(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)鋼(gang)(gang)材(cai)及生鐵(tie)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)震(zhen)(zhen)蕩上(shang)(shang)(shang)行帶動下,304不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)開(kai)始表(biao)(biao)現穩(wen)中(zhong)待漲局(ju)面(mian)。云南(nan)邵(shao)通(tong)地(di)區受(shou)(shou)暴雨(yu)襲擊(ji),造成(cheng)部(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)礦區坍塌,當地(di)資源比較(jiao)(jiao)緊張,下游需(xu)(xu)求較(jiao)(jiao)好(hao),成(cheng)交略高。然而在(zai)鋼(gang)(gang)材(cai)及生鐵(tie)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)微弱上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲及煉焦煤價(jia)(jia)格(ge)平穩(wen)運行的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)(qing)況(kuang)下,焦炭價(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲條件仍不(bu)成(cheng)熟,維穩(wen)概率較(jiao)(jiao)大(da)。預計近(jin)(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)國(guo)內(nei)噴吹(chui)煤市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)將平盤運行。開(kai)盤,下游成(cheng)品材(cai)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)主(zhu)(zhu)穩(wen),整(zheng)(zheng)體成(cheng)交好(hao)于昨(zuo)日(ri)(ri),故部(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)資源盤中(zhong)拉漲10元(yuan)(yuan),其(qi)中(zhong)小(xiao)窄帶鋼(gang)(gang)漲后(hou)成(cheng)交較(jiao)(jiao)好(hao);型材(cai)出(chu)(chu)(chu)貨(huo)(huo)亦較(jiao)(jiao)昨(zuo)增量;市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)表(biao)(biao)現一般(ban)。據了解,今日(ri)(ri)鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)直發成(cheng)交尚(shang)(shang)可,貿易商(shang)出(chu)(chu)(chu)貨(huo)(huo)亦能加(jia)價(jia)(jia)操作。受(shou)(shou)此(ci)影響,臨近(jin)(jin)中(zhong)午(wu)遷(qian)安鑫達鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)首先謹慎上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲10元(yuan)(yuan)。午(wu)后(hou)唐山、昌黎主(zhu)(zhu)流鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)也隨之小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)拉漲20元(yuan)(yuan)。從目前形勢看:下游成(cheng)品材(cai)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)由上(shang)(shang)(shang)周震(zhen)(zhen)蕩走(zou)低轉為(wei)加(jia)速下跌,報(bao)價(jia)(jia)已(yi)基(ji)本回吐前期(qi)(qi)(qi)漲幅(fu)(fu)。據了解,近(jin)(jin)兩(liang)日(ri)(ri),成(cheng)品材(cai)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)部(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)低價(jia)(jia)資源表(biao)(biao)現略有(you)(you)好(hao)轉,預計后(hou)期(qi)(qi)(qi)成(cheng)品材(cai)以及鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)會出(chu)(chu)(chu)現下游適量補(bu)貨(huo)(huo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)行情(qing)(qing),鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)或(huo)出(chu)(chu)(chu)現繼續(xu)小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲的(de)(de)(de)(de)可能,但關于北(bei)京9月(yue)閱兵周邊(bian)地(di)區限產的(de)(de)(de)(de)通(tong)知已(yi)出(chu)(chu)(chu)臺,對(dui)304不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)影響低于預期(qi)(qi)(qi),在(zai)目前終端需(xu)(xu)求沒有(you)(you)明(ming)顯(xian)好(hao)轉的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)(qing)況(kuang)下,鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲也缺乏動力。綜合(he)考慮,筆(bi)者認為(wei)短期(qi)(qi)(qi)內(nei)唐山鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)或(huo)出(chu)(chu)(chu)現震(zhen)(zhen)蕩小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)上(shang)(shang)(shang)行的(de)(de)(de)(de)格(ge)局(ju)。國(guo)內(nei)鐵(tie)礦石市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)呈震(zhen)(zhen)蕩狀(zhuang)態,整(zheng)(zheng)體趨(qu)勢較(jiao)(jiao)為(wei)堅(jian)挺(ting)。閱兵儀式臨近(jin)(jin),河北(bei)等地(di)鋼(gang)(gang)鐵(tie)企(qi)業(ye)即將開(kai)始政策(ce)性限產,由此(ci)即便近(jin)(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)鋼(gang)(gang)價(jia)(jia)略有(you)(you)走(zou)低跡象,但整(zheng)(zheng)體市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)大(da)幅(fu)(fu)下跌的(de)(de)(de)(de)可能性頗小(xiao),為(wei)此(ci)在(zai)下游市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)較(jiao)(jiao)為(wei)穩(wen)固(gu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)(qing)況(kuang)下,鐵(tie)礦石市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)尚(shang)(shang)顯(xian)穩(wen)定(ding),雖短期(qi)(qi)(qi)內(nei)略有(you)(you)承壓(ya),但供需(xu)(xu)狀(zhuang)況(kuang)尚(shang)(shang)維持正常(chang),市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)保持平穩(wen),賣方尚(shang)(shang)以出(chu)(chu)(chu)貨(huo)(huo)為(wei)主(zhu)(zhu),為(wei)此(ci)上(shang)(shang)(shang)調價(jia)(jia)格(ge)意(yi)愿(yuan)不(bu)大(da)。國(guo)產礦市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)整(zheng)(zheng)體變動不(bu)大(da),個別礦山企(qi)業(ye)有(you)(you)限產情(qing)(qing)況(kuang)出(chu)(chu)(chu)現,整(zheng)(zheng)體庫(ku)存狀(zhuang)況(kuang)略有(you)(you)緩和。綜合(he)因素分(fen)析,短期(qi)(qi)(qi)內(nei)304不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)維持趨(qu)穩(wen)狀(zhuang)態,觀望氣氛有(you)(you)所凸顯(xian)。
據悉,受(shou)(shou)近(jin)(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)鋼(gang)(gang)材(cai)及生鐵(tie)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)震(zhen)(zhen)蕩上(shang)(shang)(shang)行帶動下,304不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)開(kai)始表(biao)(biao)現穩(wen)中(zhong)待漲局(ju)面(mian)。云南(nan)邵(shao)通(tong)地(di)區受(shou)(shou)暴雨(yu)襲擊(ji),造成(cheng)部(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)礦區坍塌,當地(di)資源比較(jiao)(jiao)緊張,下游需(xu)(xu)求較(jiao)(jiao)好(hao),成(cheng)交略高。然而在(zai)鋼(gang)(gang)材(cai)及生鐵(tie)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)微弱上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲及煉焦煤價(jia)(jia)格(ge)平穩(wen)運行的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)(qing)況(kuang)下,焦炭價(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲條件仍不(bu)成(cheng)熟,維穩(wen)概率較(jiao)(jiao)大(da)。預計近(jin)(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)國(guo)內(nei)噴吹(chui)煤市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)將平盤運行。開(kai)盤,下游成(cheng)品材(cai)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)主(zhu)(zhu)穩(wen),整(zheng)(zheng)體成(cheng)交好(hao)于昨(zuo)日(ri)(ri),故部(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)資源盤中(zhong)拉漲10元(yuan)(yuan),其(qi)中(zhong)小(xiao)窄帶鋼(gang)(gang)漲后(hou)成(cheng)交較(jiao)(jiao)好(hao);型材(cai)出(chu)(chu)(chu)貨(huo)(huo)亦較(jiao)(jiao)昨(zuo)增量;市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)表(biao)(biao)現一般(ban)。據了解,今日(ri)(ri)鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)直發成(cheng)交尚(shang)(shang)可,貿易商(shang)出(chu)(chu)(chu)貨(huo)(huo)亦能加(jia)價(jia)(jia)操作。受(shou)(shou)此(ci)影響,臨近(jin)(jin)中(zhong)午(wu)遷(qian)安鑫達鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)首先謹慎上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲10元(yuan)(yuan)。午(wu)后(hou)唐山、昌黎主(zhu)(zhu)流鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)也隨之小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)拉漲20元(yuan)(yuan)。從目前形勢看:下游成(cheng)品材(cai)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)由上(shang)(shang)(shang)周震(zhen)(zhen)蕩走(zou)低轉為(wei)加(jia)速下跌,報(bao)價(jia)(jia)已(yi)基(ji)本回吐前期(qi)(qi)(qi)漲幅(fu)(fu)。據了解,近(jin)(jin)兩(liang)日(ri)(ri),成(cheng)品材(cai)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)部(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)低價(jia)(jia)資源表(biao)(biao)現略有(you)(you)好(hao)轉,預計后(hou)期(qi)(qi)(qi)成(cheng)品材(cai)以及鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)會出(chu)(chu)(chu)現下游適量補(bu)貨(huo)(huo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)行情(qing)(qing),鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)或(huo)出(chu)(chu)(chu)現繼續(xu)小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲的(de)(de)(de)(de)可能,但關于北(bei)京9月(yue)閱兵周邊(bian)地(di)區限產的(de)(de)(de)(de)通(tong)知已(yi)出(chu)(chu)(chu)臺,對(dui)304不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)影響低于預期(qi)(qi)(qi),在(zai)目前終端需(xu)(xu)求沒有(you)(you)明(ming)顯(xian)好(hao)轉的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)(qing)況(kuang)下,鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲也缺乏動力。綜合(he)考慮,筆(bi)者認為(wei)短期(qi)(qi)(qi)內(nei)唐山鋼(gang)(gang)坯(pi)(pi)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)或(huo)出(chu)(chu)(chu)現震(zhen)(zhen)蕩小(xiao)幅(fu)(fu)上(shang)(shang)(shang)行的(de)(de)(de)(de)格(ge)局(ju)。國(guo)內(nei)鐵(tie)礦石市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)呈震(zhen)(zhen)蕩狀(zhuang)態,整(zheng)(zheng)體趨(qu)勢較(jiao)(jiao)為(wei)堅(jian)挺(ting)。閱兵儀式臨近(jin)(jin),河北(bei)等地(di)鋼(gang)(gang)鐵(tie)企(qi)業(ye)即將開(kai)始政策(ce)性限產,由此(ci)即便近(jin)(jin)期(qi)(qi)(qi)鋼(gang)(gang)價(jia)(jia)略有(you)(you)走(zou)低跡象,但整(zheng)(zheng)體市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)大(da)幅(fu)(fu)下跌的(de)(de)(de)(de)可能性頗小(xiao),為(wei)此(ci)在(zai)下游市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)較(jiao)(jiao)為(wei)穩(wen)固(gu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)情(qing)(qing)況(kuang)下,鐵(tie)礦石市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)尚(shang)(shang)顯(xian)穩(wen)定(ding),雖短期(qi)(qi)(qi)內(nei)略有(you)(you)承壓(ya),但供需(xu)(xu)狀(zhuang)況(kuang)尚(shang)(shang)維持正常(chang),市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)保持平穩(wen),賣方尚(shang)(shang)以出(chu)(chu)(chu)貨(huo)(huo)為(wei)主(zhu)(zhu),為(wei)此(ci)上(shang)(shang)(shang)調價(jia)(jia)格(ge)意(yi)愿(yuan)不(bu)大(da)。國(guo)產礦市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)整(zheng)(zheng)體變動不(bu)大(da),個別礦山企(qi)業(ye)有(you)(you)限產情(qing)(qing)況(kuang)出(chu)(chu)(chu)現,整(zheng)(zheng)體庫(ku)存狀(zhuang)況(kuang)略有(you)(you)緩和。綜合(he)因素分(fen)析,短期(qi)(qi)(qi)內(nei)304不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)板(ban)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)維持趨(qu)穩(wen)狀(zhuang)態,觀望氣氛有(you)(you)所凸顯(xian)。
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