短期304不銹鋼板價格將維持穩中偏弱運行
2019-9-30 9:44:09??????點擊：
本(ben)周其(qi)(qi)他市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場除了(le)福建(jian)、廣東小跌(die)之外，其(qi)(qi)他地(di)區均平(ping)穩(wen)(wen)運行，304不銹鋼(gang)板市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場死氣沉(chen)沉(chen)，毫無亮點可言。目前(qian)，南方市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場的鋼(gang)坯貿(mao)易商大(da)(da)多已經退(tui)出(chu)或(huo)者(zhe)轉做其(qi)(qi)他流通速(su)度快的品種，繼續在做的僅(jin)是(shi)幫下(xia)(xia)游代訂貨的幾家(jia)國企，南方鋼(gang)坯的流通絕大(da)(da)多數(shu)是(shi)從鋼(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)直接到終端，貿(mao)易近(jin)乎消失。當周國內(nei)生(sheng)(sheng)鐵(tie)(tie)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場整體報價(jia)穩(wen)(wen)定，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)疲態(tai)難(nan)改(gai)(gai)。部分鋼(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)已于近(jin)日公布了(le)6月份的生(sheng)(sheng)鐵(tie)(tie)采購政 策，價(jia)格仍(reng)以下(xia)(xia)調為(wei)主流趨勢。鐵(tie)(tie)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)信心(xin)因此(ci)受到打擊，多數(shu)此(ci)前(qian)停(ting)(ting)爐(lu)(lu)的廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)延遲了(le)開工計劃，個(ge)別鐵(tie)(tie)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)因虧(kui)損(sun)嚴重(zhong)，準(zhun)備于近(jin)日檢修、停(ting)(ting)產。也有部分廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)考慮到 停(ting)(ting)工檢修有可能會造成(cheng)(cheng)更(geng)大(da)(da)的資金壓力，因此(ci)仍(reng)勉強維持(chi)生(sheng)(sheng)產，暫不做停(ting)(ting)爐(lu)(lu)打算(suan)，報價(jia)隨(sui)行就市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)，連(lian)續下(xia)(xia)調以促進(jin)出(chu)貨。山西(xi)生(sheng)(sheng)鐵(tie)(tie)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場暫穩(wen)(wen)，成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)疲軟(ruan)。前(qian)期(qi)山西(xi)生(sheng)(sheng) 鐵(tie)(tie)價(jia)格下(xia)(xia)跌(die)后，成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)依(yi)舊無改(gai)(gai)善，雖然(ran)在產廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)家(jia)很少，但(dan)庫存仍(reng)在增(zeng)加(jia)，周邊地(di)區鋼(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)仍(reng)處于觀望狀(zhuang)態(tai)。近(jin)期(qi)，原料價(jia)格持(chi)續上漲(zhang)。在成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)支(zhi)撐(cheng)下(xia)(xia)，304不銹鋼(gang)板廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)降價(jia)意愿不 強。然(ran)而，鋼(gang)材價(jia)格持(chi)續下(xia)(xia)跌(die)，不少鋼(gang)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)都計劃減(jian)產，對生(sheng)(sheng)鐵(tie)(tie)的需(xu)求量將持(chi)續減(jian)少，供需(xu)矛盾將再度加(jia)劇，預計近(jin)期(qi)國內(nei)生(sheng)(sheng)鐵(tie)(tie)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場弱(ruo)勢難(nan)改(gai)(gai)。
本(ben)周生(sheng)鐵市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)偏(pian)弱運行(xing)，跌幅在20-50元(yuan)。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)西(xi)(xi)北、西(xi)(xi)南(nan)地(di)(di)區生(sheng)鐵成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)欠佳(jia)，部分(fen)鐵廠(chang)(chang)(chang)售價下(xia)調(diao)50元(yuan)。山(shan)東、山(shan)西(xi)(xi)地(di)(di)區成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)尚(shang)可(ke)，庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)壓(ya)力不(bu)(bu)大(da)， 其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)山(shan)西(xi)(xi)部分(fen)鐵廠(chang)(chang)(chang)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)有降，加之成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)相對穩(wen)(wen)(wen)定，故商家(jia)多(duo)持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)觀(guan)望，個(ge)別鐵廠(chang)(chang)(chang)成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)欠佳(jia)，庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)較大(da)在5萬噸以上。其(qi)他地(di)(di)區表(biao)現不(bu)(bu)溫不(bu)(bu)火，報價多(duo)維(wei)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)。且隨天氣轉熱，鑄造(zao)行(xing)業步入傳統淡季，下(xia)游需(xu)求難(nan)有好轉，商家(jia)對后(hou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)不(bu)(bu)看好。從影響生(sheng)鐵市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)的各(ge)主(zhu)要因素來看：成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)面(mian)，本(ben)周鐵礦石市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)外(wai)強(qiang)內穩(wen)(wen)(wen)，港口現貨在普(pu)指(zhi)帶(dai)動(dong)下(xia)漲10-20元(yuan)，但由于成(cheng)(cheng)材徘徊不(bu)(bu)前，鋼廠(chang)(chang)(chang)對國產礦上貨量(liang)不(bu)(bu)大(da)，礦價主(zhu)流持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)。現在普(pu)氏指(zhi)數基本(ben)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)定于60美金上方，選廠(chang)(chang)(chang)心(xin)態受到(dao)一定提振，加之市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)現貨資源較少(shao)，選礦盼漲心(xin)態，短(duan)(duan)期礦價穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)有漲。焦炭市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)有跌，華北、華東等主(zhu)產區，304不(bu)(bu)銹鋼板市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)價多(duo)暫穩(wen)(wen)(wen)運行(xing)，焦化廠(chang)(chang)(chang)開工(gong)(gong)率約在 7-8成(cheng)(cheng)，出貨情況較前期略有好轉，而西(xi)(xi)南(nan)地(di)(di)區鋼廠(chang)(chang)(chang)壓(ya)價較強(qiang)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)價小跌50元(yuan)，商家(jia)心(xin)態悲觀(guan)，短(duan)(duan)期價格(ge)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)震蕩(dang)。綜上所述(shu)，成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)支(zhi)撐(cheng)尚(shang)可(ke)。需(xu)求面(mian)，本(ben)周鋼材市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)全線下(xia)跌，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)信心(xin)較為(wei)悲觀(guan)，鋼廠(chang)(chang)(chang)也遲遲不(bu)(bu)出臺新一輪采購政策(ce)，多(duo)以觀(guan)望為(wei)主(zhu)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)需(xu)求偏(pian)淡；而鑄造(zao)鐵、球墨鐵市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)，農忙時(shi)節(jie)，下(xia)游鑄企放假停工(gong)(gong)數量(liang)增多(duo)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)寥寥無(wu)幾。外(wai)礦價格(ge)接連走(zou)高(gao)，成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)支(zhi)撐(cheng)趨強(qiang)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)信心(xin)被(bei)提振，但下(xia)游需(xu)求仍較低迷(mi)，個(ge)別地(di)(di)區鐵廠(chang)(chang)(chang)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)積(ji)壓(ya)嚴重，短(duan)(duan)期304不(bu)(bu)銹鋼板價格(ge)將維(wei)持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)偏(pian)弱運行(xing)。
本(ben)周生(sheng)鐵市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)偏(pian)弱運行(xing)，跌幅在20-50元(yuan)。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)西(xi)(xi)北、西(xi)(xi)南(nan)地(di)(di)區生(sheng)鐵成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)欠佳(jia)，部分(fen)鐵廠(chang)(chang)(chang)售價下(xia)調(diao)50元(yuan)。山(shan)東、山(shan)西(xi)(xi)地(di)(di)區成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)尚(shang)可(ke)，庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)壓(ya)力不(bu)(bu)大(da)， 其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)山(shan)西(xi)(xi)部分(fen)鐵廠(chang)(chang)(chang)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)有降，加之成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)相對穩(wen)(wen)(wen)定，故商家(jia)多(duo)持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)觀(guan)望，個(ge)別鐵廠(chang)(chang)(chang)成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)欠佳(jia)，庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)較大(da)在5萬噸以上。其(qi)他地(di)(di)區表(biao)現不(bu)(bu)溫不(bu)(bu)火，報價多(duo)維(wei)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)。且隨天氣轉熱，鑄造(zao)行(xing)業步入傳統淡季，下(xia)游需(xu)求難(nan)有好轉，商家(jia)對后(hou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)不(bu)(bu)看好。從影響生(sheng)鐵市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)的各(ge)主(zhu)要因素來看：成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)面(mian)，本(ben)周鐵礦石市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)外(wai)強(qiang)內穩(wen)(wen)(wen)，港口現貨在普(pu)指(zhi)帶(dai)動(dong)下(xia)漲10-20元(yuan)，但由于成(cheng)(cheng)材徘徊不(bu)(bu)前，鋼廠(chang)(chang)(chang)對國產礦上貨量(liang)不(bu)(bu)大(da)，礦價主(zhu)流持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)。現在普(pu)氏指(zhi)數基本(ben)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)定于60美金上方，選廠(chang)(chang)(chang)心(xin)態受到(dao)一定提振，加之市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)現貨資源較少(shao)，選礦盼漲心(xin)態，短(duan)(duan)期礦價穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)有漲。焦炭市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)有跌，華北、華東等主(zhu)產區，304不(bu)(bu)銹鋼板市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)價多(duo)暫穩(wen)(wen)(wen)運行(xing)，焦化廠(chang)(chang)(chang)開工(gong)(gong)率約在 7-8成(cheng)(cheng)，出貨情況較前期略有好轉，而西(xi)(xi)南(nan)地(di)(di)區鋼廠(chang)(chang)(chang)壓(ya)價較強(qiang)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)價小跌50元(yuan)，商家(jia)心(xin)態悲觀(guan)，短(duan)(duan)期價格(ge)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)震蕩(dang)。綜上所述(shu)，成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)支(zhi)撐(cheng)尚(shang)可(ke)。需(xu)求面(mian)，本(ben)周鋼材市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)全線下(xia)跌，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)信心(xin)較為(wei)悲觀(guan)，鋼廠(chang)(chang)(chang)也遲遲不(bu)(bu)出臺新一輪采購政策(ce)，多(duo)以觀(guan)望為(wei)主(zhu)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)需(xu)求偏(pian)淡；而鑄造(zao)鐵、球墨鐵市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)，農忙時(shi)節(jie)，下(xia)游鑄企放假停工(gong)(gong)數量(liang)增多(duo)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)成(cheng)(cheng)交(jiao)寥寥無(wu)幾。外(wai)礦價格(ge)接連走(zou)高(gao)，成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)支(zhi)撐(cheng)趨強(qiang)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)信心(xin)被(bei)提振，但下(xia)游需(xu)求仍較低迷(mi)，個(ge)別地(di)(di)區鐵廠(chang)(chang)(chang)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)積(ji)壓(ya)嚴重，短(duan)(duan)期304不(bu)(bu)銹鋼板價格(ge)將維(wei)持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)中(zhong)(zhong)偏(pian)弱運行(xing)。
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