304不銹鋼板對后市觀望為主
2019-3-14 16:24:47??????點擊：
本(ben)(ben)周(zhou)管材弱勢(shi)盤(pan)(pan)整(zheng)，跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)在30-150元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，成(cheng)交(jiao)萎靡。304不(bu)銹(xiu)鋼(gang)板(ban)(ban)原料震蕩不(bu)定(ding)(ding)，成(cheng)本(ben)(ben)支撐乏力(li)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)需(xu)(xu)(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)再(zai)(zai)度受挫(cuo)，管價(jia)(jia)一路下滑。目前(qian)鋼(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi)整(zheng)體(ti)大(da)環(huan)境偏弱，各地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)有(you)(you)價(jia)(jia)無(wu)市(shi)(shi)(shi)，出(chu)(chu)貨量受阻，對(dui)于商(shang)(shang)(shang)家(jia)(jia)而(er)言一味降價(jia)(jia)也無(wu)力(li)拉動終端(duan)采(cai)購需(xu)(xu)(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)。如(ru)今北方受雨雪影響，整(zheng)體(ti)拿(na)貨數量和(he)次(ci)數大(da)幅(fu)(fu)下滑，而(er)南方因(yin)(yin)工程(cheng)進程(cheng)緩(huan)慢(man)，用(yong)鋼(gang)需(xu)(xu)(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)更是跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)入(ru)谷底。另受國家(jia)(jia)環(huan)保及經濟體(ti)質(zhi)影響，管廠(chang)(chang)雖(sui)有(you)(you)減產 停產等(deng)措施實施，但(dan)卻無(wu)力(li)改善市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)供需(xu)(xu)(xu)矛盾這一現象(xiang)。對(dui)于管市(shi)(shi)(shi)未來走勢(shi)商(shang)(shang)(shang)家(jia)(jia)紛(fen)紛(fen)表(biao)示年前(qian)管價(jia)(jia)還將小幅(fu)(fu)下調(diao)，但(dan)跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)不(bu)大(da)。預(yu)計(ji)下周(zhou)管材行(xing)情(qing)(qing)或將部(bu)分小跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)，跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)在30元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)左(zuo)右。最近兩(liang)(liang)周(zhou)，算是絕(jue)對(dui)零度，累計(ji)跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)創(chuang)近兩(liang)(liang)年最大(da)值，特(te)別(bie)是華北地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)競相低價(jia)(jia)出(chu)(chu)貨。然從本(ben)(ben)周(zhou)四開始(shi)有(you)(you)一小部(bu)分商(shang)(shang)(shang)家(jia)(jia)開始(shi)謹慎止跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)，其(qi)表(biao)示對(dui)于當前(qian)鋼(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi)的低谷期(qi)(qi)已成(cheng)習慣，并(bing)認為(wei)下旬或不(bu)再(zai)(zai)可能有(you)(you)再(zai)(zai)差(cha)的行(xing)情(qing)(qing)存(cun)在。綜合考(kao)慮(lv)，年前(qian)下游需(xu)(xu)(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)將愈(yu)發清淡(dan)，商(shang)(shang)(shang)家(jia)(jia)多(duo)根(gen)據自(zi)身節奏調(diao)整(zheng)，不(bu)過(guo)最新(xin)寶鋼(gang)、武鋼(gang)、鞍鋼(gang)2月份出(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)平盤(pan)(pan)來穩(wen)市(shi)(shi)(shi)，且陸(lu)續(xu)到港的新(xin)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)多(duo)為(wei)補充(chong)前(qian)期(qi)(qi)短缺規格，故(gu)預(yu)計(ji)下周(zhou)304不(bu)銹(xiu)鋼(gang)板(ban)(ban)繼續(xu)偏弱調(diao)整(zheng)，但(dan)幅(fu)(fu)度有(you)(you)所收窄，預(yu)計(ji)在30元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)左(zuo)右。本(ben)(ben)周(zhou)建筑鋼(gang)材市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)漲(zhang)跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)互現。節后(hou)(hou)(hou)以(yi)來，因(yin)(yin)進入(ru)月初，資(zi)(zi)金(jin)壓(ya)力(li)稍緩(huan)，部(bu)分市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)出(chu)(chu)現異動，其(qi)中(zhong)華北、西(xi)南地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)鋼(gang)廠(chang)(chang)限價(jia)(jia)、華東地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)到貨有(you)(you)限至市(shi)(shi)(shi)價(jia)(jia)偏強震蕩，但(dan)漲(zhang)后(hou)(hou)(hou)需(xu)(xu)(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)未見(jian)跟(gen)進，市(shi)(shi)(shi)價(jia)(jia)再(zai)(zai)次(ci)轉弱；東北地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)因(yin)(yin)處于冬休，本(ben)(ben)地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)需(xu)(xu)(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)幾無(wu)，鋼(gang)廠(chang)(chang)多(duo)下調(diao)廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)以(yi)期(qi)(qi)冬儲順利(li)開展(zhan)，但(dan)因(yin)(yin)行(xing)情(qing)(qing)疲弱不(bu)改，市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)氛圍悲觀(guan)，終端(duan)囤貨較(jiao)(jiao)少(shao)；華中(zhong)、華南、西(xi)北等(deng)地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)仍偏弱運行(xing)。由(you)于大(da)戶(hu)看(kan)空(kong)后(hou)(hou)(hou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)，故(gu)提前(qian)預(yu)售鎖價(jia)(jia)，減少(shao)損失(shi)，區(qu)內成(cheng)交(jiao)則欠佳西(xi)南市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)以(yi)穩(wen)為(wei)主，其(qi)中(zhong)成(cheng)渝兩(liang)(liang)地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)市(shi)(shi)(shi)價(jia)(jia)變化不(bu)大(da)，跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)均在10元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，重(zhong)慶地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)本(ben)(ben)周(zhou)整(zheng)體(ti)銷售不(bu)佳，市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)需(xu)(xu)(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)偏弱，而(er)近期(qi)(qi)外(wai)圍上(shang)海，天(tian)津(jin)，樂從等(deng)主流市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)混亂下跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)，本(ben)(ben)地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)信心不(bu)足，商(shang)(shang)(shang)家(jia)(jia)看(kan)空(kong)居多(duo)，成(cheng)都地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)亦是如(ru)此，鋼(gang)廠(chang)(chang)到貨較(jiao)(jiao)少(shao)，庫(ku)存(cun)仍處于低位，一定(ding)(ding)程(cheng)度維持(chi)了新(xin)興球(qiu)墨鑄(zhu)鐵管的穩(wen)定(ding)(ding)，但(dan)是本(ben)(ben)周(zhou)外(wai)圍市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)價(jia)(jia)加速，廣州(zhou)熱(re)軋單日跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)幅(fu)(fu)近100元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，因(yin)(yin)此本(ben)(ben)地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)商(shang)(shang)(shang)家(jia)(jia)心態(tai)較(jiao)(jiao)為(wei)擔憂，出(chu)(chu)貨意愿較(jiao)(jiao)強。昆明(ming)地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)本(ben)(ben)周(zhou)變化較(jiao)(jiao)小，近期(qi)(qi)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)需(xu)(xu)(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)(qiu)依(yi)舊不(bu)溫不(bu)火，整(zheng)體(ti)成(cheng)交(jiao)情(qing)(qing)況一般，而(er)外(wai)圍市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)的加速下跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)，導(dao)致商(shang)(shang)(shang)家(jia)(jia)考(kao)慮(lv)到區(qu)域價(jia)(jia)差(cha)因(yin)(yin)素，貿(mao)易(yi)商(shang)(shang)(shang)紛(fen)紛(fen)對(dui)后(hou)(hou)(hou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)看(kan)空(kong)為(wei)主。綜合來看(kan)，成(cheng)渝兩(liang)(liang)地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)由(you)于庫(ku)存(cun)處于低位，鋼(gang)廠(chang)(chang)到貨有(you)(you)限，市(shi)(shi)(shi)價(jia)(jia)暫穩(wen)為(wei)主，而(er)后(hou)(hou)(hou)期(qi)(qi)鋼(gang)廠(chang)(chang)到貨增(zeng)(zeng)加，庫(ku)存(cun)壓(ya)力(li)增(zeng)(zeng)大(da)，地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)價(jia)(jia)差(cha)明(ming)顯，為(wei)防止外(wai)地(di)(di)(di)(di)(di)資(zi)(zi)源(yuan)(yuan)入(ru)市(shi)(shi)(shi)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)價(jia)(jia)必(bi)有(you)(you)下調(diao)，預(yu)計(ji)下周(zhou)弱勢(shi)運行(xing)。另一方面主要是素有(you)(you)“鋼(gang)市(shi)(shi)(shi)晴雨表(biao)”之稱的唐(tang)山(shan)鋼(gang)坯前(qian)期(qi)(qi)跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)落2010元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，原材料的下跌(die)(die)(die)(die)(die)，對(dui)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)信心打擊嚴重(zhong)，304不(bu)銹(xiu)鋼(gang)板(ban)(ban)對(dui)后(hou)(hou)(hou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)觀(guan)望為(wei)主，又臨近月底商(shang)(shang)(shang)家(jia)(jia)資(zi)(zi)金(jin)壓(ya)力(li)增(zeng)(zeng)大(da)，出(chu)(chu)貨回籠資(zi)(zi)金(jin)意愿增(zeng)(zeng)強，操作上(shang)低位走貨為(wei)主，預(yu)計(ji)下周(zhou)繼續(xu)弱勢(shi)盤(pan)(pan)整(zheng)。
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